Rebecca Sramkova vs Ann LiOsaka Round of 16

Osaka · WTA · Round of 16
#139WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
Ann Li
USA7
#29WTA
1807ELO
1746Hard ELO
$718kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
Sramkova R.
6-2 3-6 6-3
Li A.
Sramkova R.
6362
Li A.
2631

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Ann Li 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the Osaka round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ann Li came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Rebecca Sramkova claimed a first win over Ann Li in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenR128hardAnn Li4-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Li A.

Li A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Serve advantage — Li A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sramkova R.Li A.
17
Serve
47
33
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
73
76
Break points saved·Even
87
83
Break points won·Even
84
87
Deciding sets·Even
86
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
6.2+117 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1807
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Sramkova R.: 18 days rest · Li A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast