Dusan Lajovic vs Alex MolcanOlbia CH Round of 16

Olbia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#152ATP
1620ELO
1559Hard ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Lajovic D.
7-6 6-4
Molcan A.
Lajovic D.
7862
Molcan A.
6640

Dusan Lajovic defeated Alex Molcan 7-6 6-4 in the Olbia CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101. Dusan Lajovic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-02Davis Cup QLS R1: SRB vs SVKRRclayAlex Molcan4-6 6-2 6-0
2021-07-12HamburgR16clayDusan Lajovic6-4 6-7(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Lajovic D.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Serve advantage — Molcan A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.4
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
90
Break points won·Dominant
36
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 31 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1559
Surface ELO
6.0+94 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1742
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
10.014-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
93

Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Molcan A.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast