Jan Lennard Struff vs Karen KhachanovAlmaty Round of 16

Almaty · ATP · Round of 16
#80ATP
1684ELO
1629Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#15ATP
1844ELO
1791Hard ELO
$853kYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWWL

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-6 6-3 in the Almaty round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Jan Lennard Struff narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
6.9+162 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.2
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Struff J.
47762
Khachanov K.
66531

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-18HamburgR32clayKaren Khachanov3-6 6-3 7-6(2)
2020-09-21HamburgR32clayKaren Khachanov7-6(5) 4-6 7-5
2019-10-28Paris MastersR32hardJan Lennard Struff7-6(5) 3-6 7-5
2019-06-17HalleR16grassKaren Khachanov6-3 3-6 6-4
2016-03-07Jonkoping CHSFhardKaren Khachanov1-6 7-6(4) 7-6(1)

Statistics

Recent form
61%1st serve in+5%66%
75%1st serve points won+1%76%
51%2nd serve points won+2%53%
65%Service points won+3%68%
37%Return points won+4%33%
61%Break points saved+4%65%
8.6Aces / match+0.48.2
2.9Double faults / match+1.11.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.