Ye Xin Ma vs Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaJinan 125 Round of 32

Jinan 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#195WTA
1450ELO
1441Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#114WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLL
Ma Y.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Ma Y.
3662
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6431

Ye Xin Ma defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Jinan 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva came in ranked #114.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ma Y.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ma Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ma Y.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Serve
0
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
52
Break points saved·Dominant
54
82
Break points won·Slight edge
80
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
26
Tiebreaks·
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
5.9+138 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1599
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
7.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
99

Ma Y.: 20 days rest · Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast