Maria Timofeeva vs Francisca JorgeW75 Quinta do Lago Semi-final

W75 Quinta do Lago · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#95WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#233WTA
1525ELO
1510Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWLW
Timofeeva M.
6-2 6-4
Jorge F.
Timofeeva M.
662
Jorge F.
24

Maria Timofeeva defeated Francisca Jorge 6-2 6-4 in the W75 Quinta do Lago semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Timofeeva M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Jorge F.

Jorge F.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
54
50
Break points saved·Dominant
76
42
Break points won·Dominant
96
69
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
85
Tiebreaks·
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.4+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1510
5.7Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1525
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.5
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
100

Timofeeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Jorge F.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast