Rafael Jodar vs Patrick Kypson — Lincoln CH Semi-final

Lincoln CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
Patrick Kypson
USA4
Patrick Kypson
#112ATP
1641ELO
1611Hard ELO
$260kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWL
Jodar R.
6-3 6-3
Kypson P.
Jodar R.
662
Kypson P.
330

Rafael Jodar defeated Patrick Kypson 6-3 6-3 in the Lincoln CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kypson P.

Kypson P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Kypson P.
18
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Kypson P.
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
7.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Kypson P.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
42
Break points saved·Even
91
93
Break points won·Dominant
71
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
17
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kypson P.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+262 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1611
9.4Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
5.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Kypson P.
Freshness·Slight edge
85
93

Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kypson P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Jodar R.
Damm M.[8]
6-736-36-3
Semi-finals
Jodar R.
Kypson P.[4]
6-36-3
Damm M.[8]
Monday J.[7]
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Jodar R.
Holt B.[1]
6-07-5
Kypson P.[4]
Suresh D.
7-646-0
Damm M.[8]
Ilagan A.
4-66-37-64
Monday J.[7]
Mmoh M.
6-36-3
R16
Holt B.[1]
Smith K.
3-66-26-1
Kypson P.[4]
Banerjee S.
6-47-65
Suresh D.
Perez A.
6-47-65
Mmoh M.
Pinnington Jones J.[3]
6-37-64
Monday J.[7]
Ghibaudo A.
6-46-2
Damm M.[8]
Tarvet O.
7-57-5
Jodar R.
Wiskandt M.
6-46-1
Ilagan A.
Martin A.
7-616-2
R32
Holt B.[1]
Shah A.
4-66-44-1
Jodar R.
Kingsley C.
6-37-5
Wiskandt M.
Hassan B.[5]
6-36-4
Kypson P.[4]
Rosenkranz M.
6-26-4
Banerjee S.
Ganesan A.
7-53-67-64
Suresh D.
Rybakov A.
6-46-4
Perez A.
Popko D.[6]
6-46-4
Monday J.[7]
Zink T.
6-46-4
Ghibaudo A.
Zick S.
6-37-63
Pinnington Jones J.[3]
Krueger M.
7-666-1
Tarvet O.
Friend J.
6-46-0
Martin A.
Fenty A.
6-36-3
Ilagan A.
Cassone M.[2]
1-66-26-3
Damm M.[8]
Arseneault N.
4-67-646-4
Mmoh M.
Wallin O.
6-46-2
Smith K.
Lassila J.
6-36-2