Brandon Holt vs Keegan Smith — Lincoln CH Round of 16

Lincoln CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
USA1
Brandon Holt
#558ATP
1537ELO
1507Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
USA
Keegan Smith
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Holt B.
3-6 6-2 6-1
Smith K.
Holt B.
3662
Smith K.
6211

Brandon Holt defeated Keegan Smith 3-6 6-2 6-1 in the Lincoln CH round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holt B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Holt B.Smith K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 52). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Holt B.Smith K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
26
Break points saved·Even
85
84
Break points won·Dominant
31
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Holt B.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Smith K.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+113 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1395
7.3Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
9.3
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Holt B.Smith K.
Freshness·
—
74

Smith K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Final
Jodar R.
Damm M.[8]
6-736-36-3
Semi-finals
Jodar R.
Kypson P.[4]
6-36-3
Damm M.[8]
Monday J.[7]
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Jodar R.
Holt B.[1]
6-07-5
Kypson P.[4]
Suresh D.
7-646-0
Damm M.[8]
Ilagan A.
4-66-37-64
Monday J.[7]
Mmoh M.
6-36-3
R16
Holt B.[1]
Smith K.
3-66-26-1
Kypson P.[4]
Banerjee S.
6-47-65
Suresh D.
Perez A.
6-47-65
Mmoh M.
Pinnington Jones J.[3]
6-37-64
Monday J.[7]
Ghibaudo A.
6-46-2
Damm M.[8]
Tarvet O.
7-57-5
Jodar R.
Wiskandt M.
6-46-1
Ilagan A.
Martin A.
7-616-2
R32
Holt B.[1]
Shah A.
4-66-44-1
Jodar R.
Kingsley C.
6-37-5
Wiskandt M.
Hassan B.[5]
6-36-4
Kypson P.[4]
Rosenkranz M.
6-26-4
Banerjee S.
Ganesan A.
7-53-67-64
Suresh D.
Rybakov A.
6-46-4
Perez A.
Popko D.[6]
6-46-4
Monday J.[7]
Zink T.
6-46-4
Ghibaudo A.
Zick S.
6-37-63
Pinnington Jones J.[3]
Krueger M.
7-666-1
Tarvet O.
Friend J.
6-46-0
Martin A.
Fenty A.
6-36-3
Ilagan A.
Cassone M.[2]
1-66-26-3
Damm M.[8]
Arseneault N.
4-67-646-4
Mmoh M.
Wallin O.
6-46-2
Smith K.
Lassila J.
6-36-2