Varvara Gracheva vs Elena Gabriela RuseOsaka Qualifying Round 2

Osaka · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#72WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Gracheva V.
7-6 6-2
Ruse E.
Gracheva V.
7762
Ruse E.
622

Varvara Gracheva defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-6 6-2 in the Osaka qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Gabriela Ruse came in ranked #72.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Ruse E.

Ruse E.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Ruse E.
3
Serve
0
27
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
66
Break points saved·Even
76
72
Break points won·Slight edge
87
98
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
65
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1754
5.0Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1850
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.8
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Ruse E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast