Elias Ymer vs Jacob FearnleyStockholm Round of 16

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 16
#183ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#123ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
Ymer E.
6-2 6-2
Fearnley J.
Ymer E.
662
Fearnley J.
220

Elias Ymer defeated Jacob Fearnley 6-2 6-2 in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jacob Fearnley came in ranked #123, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer E.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Fearnley J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ymer E.Fearnley J.
Serve
3
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (89 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
86
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Dominant
23
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1527
Surface ELO
5.5+37 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1600
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
42

Ymer E.: 20 days rest · Fearnley J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 139 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%