Jacob Fearnley vs Tallon GriekspoorStockholm Round of 32

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 32
#159ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#58ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
Fearnley J.
6-3 6-7 7-6
Griekspoor T.
Fearnley J.
666772
Griekspoor T.
378651

Jacob Fearnley defeated Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-7 7-6 in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tallon Griekspoor came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Jacob Fearnley claimed a first win over Tallon Griekspoor in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jacob Fearnley closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14StockholmR16hardTallon Griekspoor7-6(0) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fearnley J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Griekspoor T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fearnley J.Griekspoor T.
3
Serve
51
28
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
76
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
70
34
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
7.7+212 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1789
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.6
Surface form
4.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
6.0
7.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
94

Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Griekspoor T.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%