Holger Rune vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryStockholm Quarter-final

Stockholm · ATP · Quarter-final
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#32ATP
1812ELO
1766Hard ELO
$1.4MYTD
$6.8MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWW
Rune H.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Etcheverry T.
Rune H.
64662
Etcheverry T.
77341

Holger Rune defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Stockholm quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tomas Martin Etcheverry came in ranked #32, but Holger Rune had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-23BaselQFhardHolger Rune6-1 3-6 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Etcheverry T.

Etcheverry T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Etcheverry T.
47
Serve
51
58
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
70
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
84
36
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 26 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
5.5+41 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1812
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.2
Surface form
6.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Etcheverry T.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%