Arina Rodionova vs Veronika ErjavecJinan 125 Round of 16

Jinan 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#399WTA
1478ELO
1458Hard ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#89WTA
1629ELO
1524Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLWW
Rodionova A.
6-2 6-7 6-2
Erjavec V.
Rodionova A.
66462
Erjavec V.
27721

Arina Rodionova defeated Veronika Erjavec 6-2 6-7 6-2 in the Jinan 125 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Veronika Erjavec came in ranked #89.

Key context

  • Match story: Arina Rodionova closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodionova A.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Erjavec V.

Erjavec V.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Rodionova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
51%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
81
Break points saved·Dominant
9
83
Break points won·Dominant
56
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
15
82
Tiebreaks·
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1458
Surface ELO
5.9+66 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1478
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1629
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Erjavec V.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast