Leylah Fernandez vs Sorana CirsteaOsaka Semi-final

Osaka · WTA · Semi-final
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#18WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$12MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Fernandez L.
6-1 2-6 6-4
Cirstea S.
Fernandez L.
6262
Cirstea S.
1641

Leylah Fernandez defeated Sorana Cirstea 6-1 2-6 6-4 in the Osaka semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sorana Cirstea came in ranked #18. Leylah Fernandez extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Leylah Fernandez came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Hong KongQFhardLeylah Fernandez6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cirstea S.

Cirstea S.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Cirstea S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Cirstea S.
60
Serve
67
27
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
86
Break points won·Even
95
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1785
Surface ELO
6.0+130 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1957
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
86

Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cirstea S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast