Kimberly Birrell vs Mai HontamaOsaka Qualifying Round 1

Osaka · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#65WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#202WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLWLW
Birrell K.
6-1 7-6
Hontama M.
Birrell K.
6772
Hontama M.
165

Kimberly Birrell defeated Mai Hontama 6-1 7-6 in the Osaka qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Kimberly Birrell came in ranked #65.

Key context

  • Match story: Kimberly Birrell came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Birrell K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Hontama M.

Hontama M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Birrell K.Hontama M.
22
Serve
43
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
29
Break points saved·Dominant
77
27
Break points won·Clear edge
83
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
28
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
77
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.4+310 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.6Hard Elo 1442
9.2Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1480
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
3.0
Surface form
3.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
86

Birrell K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hontama M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast