Ugo Humbert vs Matteo BerrettiniStockholm Round of 16

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 16
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Humbert U.
7-6 6-3
Berrettini M.
Humbert U.
7762
Berrettini M.
6530

Ugo Humbert defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-6 6-3 in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. Ugo Humbert claimed a first win over Matteo Berrettini in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ugo Humbert closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR128hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-2 6-2
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardMatteo Berrettini6-4 7-6(6)
2020-08-31US OpenR64hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Berrettini M.
64
Serve
57
15
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
70
81
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
37
53
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+46 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1797
5.3Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
8.9
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
92
76

Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%