Mateus Alves vs Juan Pablo VarillasCuritiba CH Qualifying Round 2

Curitiba CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#455ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Alves M.
6-2 6-2
Varillas J.
Alves M.
662
Varillas J.
220

Mateus Alves defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-2 6-2 in the Curitiba CH qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alves M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alves M.

Serve advantage — Varillas J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
55
Break points saved·Even
77
80
Break points won·Dominant
10
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
63
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1247
Surface ELO
7.6+184 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1245
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1440
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
62

Alves M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast