Matias Soto vs Miguel TobonCali CH Round of 32

Cali CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#249ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
clay
#466ATP
1328ELO
1311Clay ELO
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLW
Soto M.
7-6 6-3
Tobon M.
Soto M.
7762
Tobon M.
6430

Matias Soto defeated Miguel Tobon 7-6 6-3 in the Cali CH round of 32 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Matias Soto closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Soto M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Tobon M.

Tobon M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 57). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.3+101 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1311
7.1Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1328
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
2.2
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
56
75

Soto M.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 120 games (7d) · Tobon M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast