Katerina Siniakova vs Diana ShnaiderWuhan Round of 64

Wuhan · WTA · Round of 64
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#15WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$6.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
Siniakova K.
6-4 6-4
Shnaider D.
Siniakova K.
662
Shnaider D.
440

Katerina Siniakova defeated Diana Shnaider 6-4 6-4 in the Wuhan round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Diana Shnaider came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Katerina Siniakova claimed a first win over Diana Shnaider in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Katerina Siniakova edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR16hardDiana Shnaider6-1 2-6 7-5
2025-01-06AdelaideR32hardDiana Shnaider6-3 0-6 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Shnaider D.

Shnaider D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Shnaider D.
21
Serve
41
64
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
94
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
91
Tiebreaks·Even
90
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1807
Surface ELO
5.2+26 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1891
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.3
Surface form
5.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
93

Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Shnaider D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw