Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebecca SramkovaWuhan Round of 32

Wuhan · WTA · Round of 32
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#139WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
Sabalenka A.
4-6 6-3 6-1
Sramkova R.
Sabalenka A.
4662
Sramkova R.
6311

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Rebecca Sramkova 4-6 6-3 6-1 in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Sramkova R.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Sramkova R.
96
Serve
17
39
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
87
Break points won·Clear edge
100
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 60 days (−0.7)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+572 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1629
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.9
Surface form
4.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
Prev. match
9.0
7.2
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
100

Sabalenka A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Sramkova R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw