Sumit Nagal vs Pablo Llamas RuizValencia CH Round of 16

Valencia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#241ATP
1543ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
clay
#116ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Nagal S.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Nagal S.
6362
Llamas Ruiz P.
3631

Sumit Nagal defeated Pablo Llamas Ruiz 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Valencia CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Llamas Ruiz came in ranked #116, but Sumit Nagal had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Sumit Nagal closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nagal S.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Llamas Ruiz P.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Nagal S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (83 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
63
Break points saved·Clear edge
69
88
Break points won·Even
35
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1538
Surface ELO
7.5+195 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1757
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
8.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.5
Minutes 14d
5.2
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
98

Nagal S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Llamas Ruiz P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast