Shintaro Mochizuki vs Bernard TomicJinan CH Quarter-final

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#204ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Mochizuki S.
6-1 6-4
Tomic B.
Mochizuki S.
662
Tomic B.
140

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Bernard Tomic 6-1 6-4 in the Jinan CH quarter-final on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Tomic B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
52
53
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
92
Break points won·Dominant
55
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
74
Tiebreaks·Even
80
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
5.4+16 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1475
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.1
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
78

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Tomic B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast