Shintaro Mochizuki vs Kyrian JacquetJinan CH Round of 16

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#139ATP
1685ELO
1663Hard ELO
$264kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Mochizuki S.
6-3 6-2
Jacquet K.
Mochizuki S.
662
Jacquet K.
320

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Kyrian Jacquet 6-3 6-2 in the Jinan CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kyrian Jacquet came in ranked #139.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Jacquet K.

Jacquet K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Serve advantage — Jacquet K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
54%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
52
47
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
87
Break points won·Dominant
55
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
46
40
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
7.6+238 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1685
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.1
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
92

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Jacquet K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast