Brandon Holt vs Adam Walton — Jinan CH Round of 16

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
USA
Brandon Holt
#558ATP
1537ELO
1507Hard ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
Adam Walton
AUS2
Adam Walton
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Holt B.
6-4 6-3
Walton A.
Holt B.
662
Walton A.
430

Brandon Holt defeated Adam Walton 6-4 6-3 in the Jinan CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adam Walton came in ranked #85. Brandon Holt extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Brandon Holt closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-22MallorcaQ1grassBrandon Holt6-3 6-7(1) 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Holt B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Holt B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Holt B.Walton A.
—
Serve
35
—
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Holt B.Walton A.
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
0.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (75 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Holt B.Walton A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
95
Break points won·Slight edge
31
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
96
Tiebreaks·Even
69
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Holt B.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Walton A.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1507
Surface ELO
6.6+162 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1703
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.3
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Holt B.Walton A.
Freshness·
—
57

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Cazaux A.[1]
Mcdonald M.[6]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Cazaux A.[1]
Mochizuki S.[7]
6-16-2
Mcdonald M.[6]
Bar Biryukov P.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Mochizuki S.[7]
Tomic B.
6-16-4
Bar Biryukov P.
Smith C.
6-47-64
Mcdonald M.[6]
Holt B.
6-34-67-67
Cazaux A.[1]
Zhou Y.
6-43-66-0
R16
Smith C.
Droguet T.
6-13-67-5
Cazaux A.[1]
Draxl L.
6-27-63
Zhou Y.
Hijikata R.
7-53-66-4
Tomic B.
Harris B.
6-46-746-2
Holt B.
Walton A.[2]
6-46-3
Mcdonald M.[6]
Kotov P.
7-56-2
Bar Biryukov P.
Wong C.
6-46-757-65
Mochizuki S.[7]
Jacquet K.
6-36-2
R32
Tomic B.
Svrcina D.[4]
6-10-66-2
Draxl L.
Oconnell C.
4-61-1
Jacquet K.
Samrej K.
7-56-2
Harris B.
Watanuki Y.
1-66-36-2
Smith C.
Duckworth J.[8]
6-47-66
Droguet T.
Cui J.
6-46-1
Bar Biryukov P.
Daniel T.
7-654-66-3
Wong C.
Djere L.[3]
7-6106-2
Kotov P.
Holmgren A.
6-36-4
Holt B.
Zhukov M.
3-66-46-3
Cazaux A.[1]
Blanchet U.
6-36-4
Hijikata R.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Zhou Y.
Schoolkate T.[5]
7-626-4
Mcdonald M.[6]
Mayot H.
6-37-62
Mochizuki S.[7]
Mccabe J.
6-36-4
Walton A.[2]
Sun F.
3-67-56-4