Bernard Tomic vs Billy Harris — Jinan CH Round of 16

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Bernard Tomic
AUS
Bernard Tomic
#204ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
Billy Harris
GBR
Billy Harris
#155ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
Tomic B.
6-4 6-7 6-2
Harris B.
Tomic B.
66462
Harris B.
47721

Bernard Tomic defeated Billy Harris 6-4 6-7 6-2 in the Jinan CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Billy Harris came in ranked #155, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Bernard Tomic claimed a first win over Billy Harris in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Bernard Tomic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15NewportQ1grassBilly Harris6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tomic B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Harris B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tomic B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Tomic B.Harris B.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.5
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tomic B.Harris B.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
47
Break points saved·Even
92
91
Break points won·Slight edge
4
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
74
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tomic B.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Harris B.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
4.9+32 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1508
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
4.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tomic B.Harris B.
Freshness·Clear edge
75
94

Tomic B.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Harris B.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Cazaux A.[1]
Mcdonald M.[6]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Cazaux A.[1]
Mochizuki S.[7]
6-16-2
Mcdonald M.[6]
Bar Biryukov P.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Mochizuki S.[7]
Tomic B.
6-16-4
Bar Biryukov P.
Smith C.
6-47-64
Mcdonald M.[6]
Holt B.
6-34-67-67
Cazaux A.[1]
Zhou Y.
6-43-66-0
R16
Smith C.
Droguet T.
6-13-67-5
Cazaux A.[1]
Draxl L.
6-27-63
Zhou Y.
Hijikata R.
7-53-66-4
Tomic B.
Harris B.
6-46-746-2
Holt B.
Walton A.[2]
6-46-3
Mcdonald M.[6]
Kotov P.
7-56-2
Bar Biryukov P.
Wong C.
6-46-757-65
Mochizuki S.[7]
Jacquet K.
6-36-2
R32
Tomic B.
Svrcina D.[4]
6-10-66-2
Draxl L.
Oconnell C.
4-61-1
Jacquet K.
Samrej K.
7-56-2
Harris B.
Watanuki Y.
1-66-36-2
Smith C.
Duckworth J.[8]
6-47-66
Droguet T.
Cui J.
6-46-1
Bar Biryukov P.
Daniel T.
7-654-66-3
Wong C.
Djere L.[3]
7-6106-2
Kotov P.
Holmgren A.
6-36-4
Holt B.
Zhukov M.
3-66-46-3
Cazaux A.[1]
Blanchet U.
6-36-4
Hijikata R.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Zhou Y.
Schoolkate T.[5]
7-626-4
Mcdonald M.[6]
Mayot H.
6-37-62
Mochizuki S.[7]
Mccabe J.
6-36-4
Walton A.[2]
Sun F.
3-67-56-4