Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Ignacio BuseValencia CH Round of 32

Valencia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#116ATP
1757ELO
1732Clay ELO
$268kYTD
$884kCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
clay
#33ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-4 6-4
Buse I.
Llamas Ruiz P.
662
Buse I.
440

Pablo Llamas Ruiz defeated Ignacio Buse 6-4 6-4 in the Valencia CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #33, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Pablo Llamas Ruiz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Llamas Ruiz P.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Llamas Ruiz P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Llamas Ruiz P.Buse I.
Serve
41
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
63
63
Break points saved·Even
88
87
Break points won·Slight edge
39
28
Deciding sets·Even
79
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1732
Surface ELO
5.2+54 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1822
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
8.1
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
4.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Llamas Ruiz P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Buse I.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast