Gonzalo Bueno vs Juan Pablo VarillasCali CH Quarter-final

Cali CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#182ATP
1491ELO
1469Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$352kCAREER
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
clay
#308ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLLLL
Bueno G.
6-4 4-6 6-2
Varillas J.
Bueno G.
6462
Varillas J.
4621

Gonzalo Bueno defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the Cali CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Gonzalo Bueno came in ranked #182, defending last year's final.

Key context

  • Match story: Gonzalo Bueno closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bueno G.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bueno G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (101 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
45
56
Break points saved·Dominant
29
80
Break points won·Even
45
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
66
Tiebreaks·Even
68
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+38 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1431
5.5Overall Elo 1491
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1440
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
5.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
6.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
58

Bueno G.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast