Viktoriya Tomova vs Katie BoulterWuhan Qualifying Round 1

Wuhan · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#174WTA
1626ELO
1586Hard ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Tomova V.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Boulter K.
Tomova V.
3662
Boulter K.
6411

Viktoriya Tomova defeated Katie Boulter 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Wuhan qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Viktoriya Tomova claimed a first win over Katie Boulter in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR64grassKatie Boulter6-0 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tomova V.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Tomova V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tomova V.Boulter K.
Serve
21
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
87
Break points saved·Dominant
30
86
Break points won·Slight edge
88
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
42
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1586
Surface ELO
7.6+209 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1626
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Tomova V.: 19 days rest · Boulter K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast