Lucia Bronzetti vs Kimberly BirrellWuhan Qualifying Round 2

Wuhan · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#139WTA
1622ELO
1551Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#65WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Bronzetti L.
6-3 4-6 6-4
Birrell K.
Bronzetti L.
6462
Birrell K.
3641

Lucia Bronzetti defeated Kimberly Birrell 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the Wuhan qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kimberly Birrell came in ranked #65.

Key context

  • Match story: Lucia Bronzetti closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bronzetti L.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Birrell K.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Bronzetti L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bronzetti L.Birrell K.
12
Serve
22
14
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
52%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
55
65
Break points saved·Even
74
77
Break points won·Even
84
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
60
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
8.2+201 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1754
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
8.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Bronzetti L.: 18 days rest · Birrell K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast