Jessica Pegula vs Hailey BaptisteWuhan Round of 32

Wuhan · WTA · Round of 32
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Pegula J.
6-4 4-6 7-6
Baptiste H.
Pegula J.
64782
Baptiste H.
46661

Jessica Pegula defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4 4-6 7-6 in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-08-01WashingtonR32hardJessica Pegula6-2 6-2
2021-06-14BerlinR32grassJessica Pegula6-6 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baptiste H.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Baptiste H.
68
Serve
40
73
Return
18

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
83
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Clear edge
99
79
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+278 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1781
8.2Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1844
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
2.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
8.4
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw