Jacob Fearnley vs Luca Van AsscheRoanne CH Round of 32

Roanne CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#159ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#80ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Fearnley J.
3-6 6-2 6-3
Van Assche L.
Fearnley J.
3662
Van Assche L.
6231

Jacob Fearnley defeated Luca Van Assche 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the Roanne CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luca Van Assche came in ranked #80, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fearnley J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Van Assche L.

Van Assche L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Serve advantage — Van Assche L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fearnley J.Van Assche L.
3
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
91
Break points won·Slight edge
70
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 50 days (−0.7)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 35 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
6.3+117 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
99

Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast