Holger Rune vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardShanghai Masters Round of 16

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#83ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
Rune H.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Rune H.
66762
Mpetshi Perricard G.
47931

Holger Rune defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's round of 16. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR64hardHolger Rune7-6(7) 6-3
2024-10-21BaselSFhardGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard7-6(6) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Mpetshi Perricard G.

Mpetshi Perricard G.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Mpetshi Perricard G.
47
Serve
81
58
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
28%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
14.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 61). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
65
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
84
1
Deciding sets·Even
98
95
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+53 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1672
5.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1738
5.4
H2H
4.6
6.6
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%