Rei Sakamoto vs Mackenzie McdonaldShanghai Masters Qualifying Round 2

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#157ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$235kYTD
$494kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025 ·
hard
#146ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLL
Sakamoto R.
6-4 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Sakamoto R.
662
Mcdonald M.
430

Rei Sakamoto defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #146, but Rei Sakamoto had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Rei Sakamoto closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.8
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
49
28
Break points saved·Even
87
87
Break points won·Dominant
8
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
6
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
23
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
61
61

Sakamoto R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw