Rei Sakamoto vs Mackenzie McdonaldShanghai Masters Qualifying Round 2

Shanghai Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#150ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$233kYTD
$492kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Sakamoto R.
6-4 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Sakamoto R.
662
Mcdonald M.
43

Rei Sakamoto defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145. Rei Sakamoto extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Rei Sakamoto closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersQ2hardRei Sakamoto6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sakamoto R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sakamoto R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakamoto R.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
5.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
49
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
96
Break points won·Dominant
8
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
23
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Sakamoto R.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast