Juncheng Shang vs Karen KhachanovShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#274ATP
1746ELO
1698Hard ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Shang J.
7-6 6-3
Khachanov K.
Shang J.
7762
Khachanov K.
6330

Juncheng Shang defeated Karen Khachanov 7-6 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shang J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Shang J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shang J.Khachanov K.
34
Serve
61
18
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
76
86
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
45
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1698
Surface ELO
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1746
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1828
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.1
Minutes 14d
8.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.0
Country comfort
4.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Khachanov K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%