Jordan Thompson vs August HolmgrenShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#156ATP
1772ELO
1733Hard ELO
$153kYTD
$9.6MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
#143ATP
1566ELO
1517Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$646kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Thompson J.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Holmgren A.
Thompson J.
4662
Holmgren A.
6341

Jordan Thompson defeated August Holmgren 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — August Holmgren came in ranked #143, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jordan Thompson claimed a first win over August Holmgren in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-09-27San DiegoQ1hardAugust Holmgren6-4 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Thompson J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Holmgren A.

Holmgren A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Thompson J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Even
8.2
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
70
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
90
Break points won·Clear edge
24
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
46
Tiebreaks·Even
95
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+216 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1517
7.9Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1566
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
9.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
80

Holmgren A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%