Matteo Arnaldi vs Rei Sakamoto — Shanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 October 2025
hard
JPN
Rei Sakamoto
#150ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$233kYTD
$492kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWWW
Arnaldi M.
7-6 6-4
Sakamoto R.
Arnaldi M.
7762
Sakamoto R.
6340

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Rei Sakamoto 7-6 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sakamoto R.

Sakamoto R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Sakamoto R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R.
23
Serve
—
22
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
49
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
87
Break points won·Dominant
51
8
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Sakamoto R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+143 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1589
6.3Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1608
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R.
Freshness·Even
95
94

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sakamoto R.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Vacherot V.
Rinderknech A.
4-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Vacherot V.
Djokovic N.[4]
6-36-4
Rinderknech A.
Medvedev D.[16]
4-66-26-4
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[16]
De Minaur A.[7]
6-46-4
Vacherot V.
Rune H.[10]
2-67-646-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Bergs Z.
6-37-5
Rinderknech A.
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
6-36-4
R16
Vacherot V.
Griekspoor T.[27]
4-67-616-4
Rune H.[10]
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
6-46-776-3
Bergs Z.
Diallo G.[31]
3-67-57-68
Rinderknech A.
Lehecka J.[15]
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Musetti L.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Munar J.
6-35-76-2
De Minaur A.[7]
Borges N.
7-56-2
Medvedev D.[16]
Tien L.
7-666-716-4
R32
Diallo G.[31]
Goffin D.
3-0
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
Fritz T.[5]
6-47-5
Griekspoor T.[27]
Sinner J.[2]
6-737-53-2
Vacherot V.
Machac T.[20]
6-03-1
Djokovic N.[4]
Hanfmann Y.
4-67-56-3
Lehecka J.[15]
Shapovalov D.[23]
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Cerundolo F.[19]
7-616-3
Borges N.
Shang J.
7-654-66-3
Munar J.
Nishioka Y.
6-45-76-1
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
De Jong J.
6-47-5
Rinderknech A.
Zverev A.[3]
4-66-36-2
Tien L.
Norrie C.[30]
7-646-3
Rune H.[10]
Humbert U.[21]
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Darderi L.[26]
7-57-61
Medvedev D.[16]
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
6-37-65
De Minaur A.[7]
Majchrzak K.
6-17-5
R64
Bergs Z.
Ruud C.[11]
3-67-54-1
Cerundolo F.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-637-64
Darderi L.[26]
Yunchaokete B.
6-46-4
Nishioka Y.
Rublev A.[13]
2-66-16-4
Fritz T.[5]
Marozsan F.
2-67-647-61
Djokovic N.[4]
Cilic M.
7-626-4
Griekspoor T.[27]
Brooksby J.
6-11-66-1
Auger Aliassime F.[12]
Tabilo A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.[23]
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Shang J.
Khachanov K.[9]
7-636-3
Diallo G.[31]
Bonzi B.
6-46-4
Borges N.
Vukic A.
7-676-4
Vacherot V.
Bublik A.[14]
3-66-36-4
Hanfmann Y.
Tiafoe F.[25]
6-796-26-1
Sinner J.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.[32]
Nardi L.
6-37-64
Majchrzak K.
Nakashima B.[29]
6-46-0
Lehecka J.[15]
Halys Q.
6-47-5
Rune H.[10]
Baez S.
7-56-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.[28]
6-36-4
De Jong J.
Mensik J.[17]
4-67-626-4
Medvedev D.[16]
Svrcina D.
6-16-1
Tien L.
Moutet C.
4-66-46-4
Humbert U.[21]
Thompson J.
6-37-64
Machac T.[20]
Bellucci M.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.[7]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-2
Norrie C.[30]
Cazaux A.
6-30-67-65
Musetti L.[8]
Comesana F.
6-46-0
Goffin D.
Shelton B.[6]
6-26-4
Munar J.
Cobolli F.[22]
7-56-1
Zverev A.[3]
Royer V.
6-46-4
R128
Bonzi B.
Opelka R.
7-626-4
Svrcina D.
Wu Y.
7-50-0
Rinderknech A.
Medjedovic H.
6-731-0
Borges N.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Vacherot V.
Djere L.
6-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Atmane T.
4-4
De Jong J.
Zhou Y.
6-716-27-63
Mannarino A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-65
Baez S.
Zhang Z.
2-66-36-4
Yunchaokete B.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-756-3
Shang J.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-66-3
Royer V.
Navone M.
3-66-46-4
Goffin D.
Muller A.
6-766-16-1
Tien L.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-4
Cazaux A.
Martinez P.
6-33-67-5
Hanfmann Y.
Sonego L.
2-66-36-1
Oconnell C.
Dzumhur D.
6-26-4
Cilic M.
Basilashvili N.
6-37-65
Thompson J.
Holmgren A.
4-66-36-4
Marozsan F.
Wawrinka S.
6-14-66-4
Munar J.
Fucsovics M.
4-67-56-1
Bellucci M.
Walton A.
7-666-1
Tabilo A.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Halys Q.
Mcdonald M.
6-36-2
Majchrzak K.
Quinn E.
6-36-4
Arnaldi M.
Sakamoto R.
7-636-4
Nishioka Y.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-2
Altmaier D.
Schoolkate T.
6-36-4
Comesana F.
Blanchet U.
6-46-2
Brooksby J.
Trotter J.
7-626-1
Nardi L.
Ofner S.
3-66-36-2
Bergs Z.
Korda S.
6-47-5