Michael Zheng vs Rafael JodarTiburon CH Semi-final

Tiburon CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#121ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
#25ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Zheng M.
6-4 7-5
Jodar R.
Zheng M.
672
Jodar R.
450

Michael Zheng defeated Rafael Jodar 6-4 7-5 in the Tiburon CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #25, but Michael Zheng had arrived on a 10-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zheng M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zheng M.Jodar R.
Serve
18
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
7.2+201 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1695
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1999
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
7.6
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
7.6
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
86
85

Zheng M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Jodar R.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast