Alejandro Moro Canas vs Elmer MollerBraga CH Quarter-final

Braga CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#233ATP
1526ELO
1484Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
clay
#147ATP
1609ELO
1593Clay ELO
$153kYTD
$725kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Moro Canas A.
7-5 6-4
Moller E.
Moro Canas A.
762
Moller E.
540

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Elmer Moller 7-5 6-4 in the Braga CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Elmer Moller came in ranked #147, defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moro Canas A.serving61% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Moller E.

Moller E.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
24
69
Break points saved·Even
82
81
Break points won·Clear edge
35
58
Deciding sets·Dominant
20
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Clay Elo 1484
Surface ELO
6.0+110 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1609
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.9
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Moro Canas A.: 16 days rest · Moller E.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast