Pablo Carreno Busta vs Hugo GrenierVillena CH Final

Villena CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
#221ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
Carreno Busta P.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Grenier H.
Carreno Busta P.
4662
Grenier H.
6141

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Hugo Grenier 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the Villena CH final on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Grenier H.

Grenier H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Grenier H.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
86
Break points won·Dominant
61
8
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+221 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1523
7.3Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1548
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Grenier H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast