Madison Brengle vs Kayla DayW35 San Rafael CA Round of 16

W35 San Rafael CA · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#223WTA
1575ELO
1539Hard ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
#137WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
Brengle M.
6-1 6-7 6-2
Day K.
Brengle M.
66562
Day K.
17721

Madison Brengle defeated Kayla Day 6-1 6-7 6-2 in the W35 San Rafael CA round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kayla Day came in ranked #137, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Madison Brengle claimed a first win over Kayla Day in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Brengle came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2016-08-29US OpenR128hardKayla Day6-2 4-2 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Brengle M.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Day K.

Day K.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Brengle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
60%
Return points won·Even
50%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.2
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
7
39
Break points saved·Dominant
7
66
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Slight edge
8
18
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
46
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1539
Surface ELO
5.5+37 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1575
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1595
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
8.5
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
96

Brengle M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Day K.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast