Luca Potenza vs Darwin BlanchVillena CH Round of 32

Villena CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#451ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
#225ATP
1551ELO
1483Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Potenza L.
6-4 7-5
Blanch D.
Potenza L.
672
Blanch D.
450

Luca Potenza defeated Darwin Blanch 6-4 7-5 in the Villena CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Darwin Blanch came in ranked #225, defending last year's round of 32, but Luca Potenza had arrived on a 3-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Potenza L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Blanch D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 57). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1317
Surface ELO
7.3+166 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1342
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
5.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
70

Potenza L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Blanch D.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast