Kaja Juvan vs Nikola BartunkovaSamsun 125 Final

Samsun 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#127WTA
1696ELO
1637Hard ELO
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
#48WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$507kYTD
$713kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWW
Juvan K.
7-6 6-3
Bartunkova N.
Juvan K.
71062
Bartunkova N.
683

Kaja Juvan defeated Nikola Bartunkova 7-6 6-3 in the Samsun 125 final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nikola Bartunkova came in ranked #48.

Key context

  • Match story: Kaja Juvan closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Juvan K.serving56% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Bartunkova N.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Juvan K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
58
72
Break points saved·Clear edge
56
76
Break points won·Slight edge
95
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
75
Tiebreaks·
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1637
Surface ELO
5.2+82 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Bartunkova N.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast