Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Maks Kasnikowski — Villena CH Round of 16

Villena CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
ESP8
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
POL
Maks Kasnikowski
#252ATP
1400ELO
1369Hard ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Merida Aguilar D.
6-4 6-3
Kasnikowski M.
Merida Aguilar D.
662
Kasnikowski M.
430

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Maks Kasnikowski 6-4 6-3 in the Villena CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Merida Aguilar D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Kasnikowski M.

Kasnikowski M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Merida Aguilar D.Kasnikowski M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 53). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Merida Aguilar D.Kasnikowski M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
13
Break points saved·Slight edge
64
56
Break points won·Dominant
46
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
16
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
49
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Merida Aguilar D.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Kasnikowski M.
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
8.9+307 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.1Hard Elo 1369
9.4Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Merida Aguilar D.Kasnikowski M.
Freshness·Dominant
93
48

Merida Aguilar D.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kasnikowski M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 112 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Grenier H.
4-66-16-4
Semi-finals
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Brunclik P.
6-46-3
Grenier H.
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
6-47-64
Quarter-finals
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
Loffhagen G.
6-11-67-5
Grenier H.
Gentzsch T.
7-56-2
Brunclik P.
Potenza L.
6-46-3
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Landaluce M.[5]
6-36-1
R16
Landaluce M.[5]
Crawford O.
6-46-4
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
Kasnikowski M.
6-46-3
Potenza L.
Butvilas E.
6-16-4
Grenier H.
Echargui M.[6]
6-46-4
Gentzsch T.
Kuzmanov D.
6-46-4
Loffhagen G.
Durasovic V.
4-66-36-2
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Coulibaly E.
6-46-3
Brunclik P.
Oberleitner N.
6-26-2
R32
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Blanch D.
6-24-66-3
Brunclik P.
Hussey G.
7-56-1
Loffhagen G.
Barroso Campos A.
6-36-1
Kuzmanov D.
Coppejans K.
7-636-4
Gentzsch T.
Jarry N.[2]
7-646-3
Crawford O.
Carboni L.
6-26-1
Landaluce M.[5]
Montes De La Torre I.
6-44-66-3
Durasovic V.
Klein L.[4]
7-646-2
Grenier H.
Barton H.
6-36-3
Coulibaly E.
Negritu C.
3-67-56-4
Butvilas E.
Struff J.[1]
6-46-2
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
Peniston R.
6-46-2
Echargui M.[6]
Brancaccio R.
6-46-4
Kasnikowski M.
Ramos A.
6-26-4
Potenza L.
Blanch D.
6-47-5
Oberleitner N.
Gea A.
7-666-4