Hugo Grenier vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Villena CH Semi-final

Villena CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Hugo Grenier
FRA
Hugo Grenier
#221ATP
1548ELO
1523Hard ELO
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 September 2025
hard
ESP8
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1744ELO
1676Hard ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Grenier H.
6-4 7-6
Merida Aguilar D.
Grenier H.
6772
Merida Aguilar D.
4640

Hugo Grenier defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-4 7-6 in the Villena CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Grenier H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Merida Aguilar D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Grenier H.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Grenier H.Merida Aguilar D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (88 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Grenier H.Merida Aguilar D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
37
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
64
Break points won·Dominant
8
46
Deciding sets·Clear edge
65
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Grenier H.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Merida Aguilar D.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1523
Surface ELO
7.0+152 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1744
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
6.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Grenier H.Merida Aguilar D.
Freshness·Slight edge
89
96

Grenier H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Merida Aguilar D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Grenier H.
4-66-16-4
Semi-finals
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Brunclik P.
6-46-3
Grenier H.
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
6-47-64
Quarter-finals
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
Loffhagen G.
6-11-67-5
Grenier H.
Gentzsch T.
7-56-2
Brunclik P.
Potenza L.
6-46-3
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Landaluce M.[5]
6-36-1
R16
Landaluce M.[5]
Crawford O.
6-46-4
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
Kasnikowski M.
6-46-3
Potenza L.
Butvilas E.
6-16-4
Grenier H.
Echargui M.[6]
6-46-4
Gentzsch T.
Kuzmanov D.
6-46-4
Loffhagen G.
Durasovic V.
4-66-36-2
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Coulibaly E.
6-46-3
Brunclik P.
Oberleitner N.
6-26-2
R32
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Blanch D.
6-24-66-3
Brunclik P.
Hussey G.
7-56-1
Loffhagen G.
Barroso Campos A.
6-36-1
Kuzmanov D.
Coppejans K.
7-636-4
Gentzsch T.
Jarry N.[2]
7-646-3
Crawford O.
Carboni L.
6-26-1
Landaluce M.[5]
Montes De La Torre I.
6-44-66-3
Durasovic V.
Klein L.[4]
7-646-2
Grenier H.
Barton H.
6-36-3
Coulibaly E.
Negritu C.
3-67-56-4
Butvilas E.
Struff J.[1]
6-46-2
Merida Aguilar D.[8]
Peniston R.
6-46-2
Echargui M.[6]
Brancaccio R.
6-46-4
Kasnikowski M.
Ramos A.
6-26-4
Potenza L.
Blanch D.
6-47-5
Oberleitner N.
Gea A.
7-666-4