Anastasia Potapova vs Katerina Siniakova — Beijing Round of 128

Beijing · WTA · Round of 128
Anastasia Potapova
RUS
Anastasia Potapova
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Katerina Siniakova
CZE
Katerina Siniakova
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Potapova A.
6-3 6-4
Siniakova K.
Potapova A.
662
Siniakova K.
340

Anastasia Potapova defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-3 6-4 in the Beijing round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Anastasia Potapova claimed a first win over Katerina Siniakova in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R32hardKaterina Siniakova6-1 1-0 RET
2019-08-19New YorkR16hardKaterina Siniakova6-0 3-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Potapova A.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Serve advantage — Siniakova K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Potapova A.Siniakova K.
11
Serve
21
52
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Potapova A.Siniakova K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.6
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Potapova A.Siniakova K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
75
Break points won·Slight edge
88
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Potapova A.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 38 days (−0.7)
Siniakova K.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1804
Surface ELO
5.3+3 Hard Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1904
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1846
0.0
H2H
10.0
2.8
Surface form
7.9
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.1
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Potapova A.Siniakova K.
Freshness·Even
98
95

Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Anisimova A.[3]
Noskova L.[26]
6-02-66-2
Semi-finals
Anisimova A.[3]
Gauff C.[2]
6-16-2
Noskova L.[26]
Pegula J.[5]
6-31-67-66
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[2]
Lys E.
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Paolini J.[6]
6-746-36-4
Noskova L.[26]
Kartal S.
6-36-4
Pegula J.[5]
Navarro E.[16]
6-726-26-1
R16
Paolini J.[6]
Bouzkova M.
6-27-5
Gauff C.[2]
Bencic B.[15]
4-67-646-2
Pegula J.[5]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-36-746-1
Kartal S.
Andreeva M.[4]
7-52-67-5
Noskova L.[26]
Potapova A.
6-26-4
Lys E.
Kessler M.
4-66-16-2
Anisimova A.[3]
Muchova K.[13]
1-66-26-4
Navarro E.[16]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-44-66-0
R32
Kessler M.
Krejcikova B.
1-67-53-0
Noskova L.[26]
Zheng Q.[7]
6-43-63-0
Navarro E.[16]
Boisson L.
6-21-0
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-00-0
Muchova K.[13]
Badosa P.[18]
4-2
Gauff C.[2]
Fernandez L.[25]
6-44-67-5
Bencic B.[15]
Hon P.
4-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-1
Pegula J.[5]
Raducanu E.[30]
3-67-696-0
Bouzkova M.
Kudermetova V.[24]
6-37-5
Paolini J.[6]
Kenin S.[27]
6-36-0
Lys E.
Rybakina E.[8]
6-31-66-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Zhang S.
7-6116-0
Kostyuk M.[23]
Sasnovich A.
6-46-2
Potapova A.
Sonmez Z.
6-37-5
Kartal S.
Joint M.
6-36-2
R64
Sasnovich A.
Osaka N.[12]
1-66-46-2
Kessler M.
Mertens E.[20]
6-26-4
Rybakina E.[8]
Mcnally C.
7-54-66-3
Noskova L.[26]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-14-66-4
Kartal S.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-36-0
Joint M.
Shnaider D.[17]
7-56-1
Navarro E.[16]
Ruse E.
6-37-60
Muchova K.[13]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Raducanu E.[30]
Bucsa C.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-36-4
Anisimova A.[3]
Boulter K.
6-16-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Yuan Y.
6-06-3
Andreeva M.[4]
Zhu L.
6-26-2
Kostyuk M.[23]
Seidel E.
6-16-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.[29]
7-56-4
Badosa P.[18]
Ruzic A.
6-37-62
Bouzkova M.
Linette M.[33]
7-57-5
Kudermetova V.[24]
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Bencic B.[15]
Volynets K.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Jovic I.[32]
6-34-67-5
Pegula J.[5]
Tomljanovic A.
6-06-3
Gauff C.[2]
Rakhimova K.
6-46-0
Fernandez L.[25]
Sakkari M.
6-26-0
Hon P.
Ostapenko J.[22]
6-36-2
Krejcikova B.
Alexandrova E.[9]
7-56-2
Zhang S.
Wang X.[31]
6-46-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sevastova A.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Arango E.
6-36-2
Potapova A.
Mboko V.[21]
7-657-5
Sonmez Z.
Tauson C.[10]
6-42-66-3
Kenin S.[27]
Kudermetova P.
6-46-2
R128
Volynets K.
Stearns P.
6-42-66-3
Joint M.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-2
Ruse E.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Kartal S.
Parks A.
6-36-2
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Cristian J.
6-46-0
Zhu L.
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Tomljanovic A.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-616-2
Bucsa C.
Vekic D.
6-26-4
Seidel E.
Frech M.
7-56-4
Sasnovich A.
Tjen J.
6-747-56-1
Wang X.
Guo H.
7-56-1
Osorio C.
Li A.
7-56-757-5
Sakkari M.
Krueger A.
7-656-757-5
Hon P.
Golubic V.
1-66-37-64
Potapova A.
Siniakova K.
6-36-4
Sonmez Z.
Wei S.
6-26-0
Bondar A.
Andreescu B.
6-47-64
Mcnally C.
Siegemund L.
6-46-2
Yuan Y.
Putintseva Y.
6-36-3
Rakhimova K.
Bronzetti L.
6-46-1
Boulter K.
Baptiste H.
7-55-76-4
Krejcikova B.
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kessler M.
Shi H.
6-27-65
Lys E.
Zhang R.
6-16-0
Zhang S.
Zakharova A.
3-66-16-4
Ruzic A.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-3
Cirstea S.
Dolehide C.
6-26-3
Bouzkova M.
Maria T.
6-26-4
Kudermetova P.
Inglis M.
7-57-67
Sevastova A.
Birrell K.
6-37-61
Arango E.
Lamens S.
6-36-3
Boisson L.
Galfi D.
7-665-76-2