Sho Shimabukuro vs Mariano NavoneTokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#38ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
Shimabukuro S.
6-2 6-3
Navone M.
Shimabukuro S.
662
Navone M.
230

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Mariano Navone 6-2 6-3 in the Tokyo qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #38, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Navone M.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shimabukuro S.Navone M.
Serve
3
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
75
Break points saved·Even
88
86
Break points won·Dominant
31
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1606
Surface ELO
6.1+87 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
4.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
91

Shimabukuro S.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Navone M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%