Greet Minnen vs Maria Timofeeva — Beijing Qualifying Round 1

Beijing · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Greet Minnen
BEL
Greet Minnen
#205WTA
1723ELO
1667Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
Maria Timofeeva
UZB
Maria Timofeeva
#95WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Minnen G.
3-6 7-6 6-2
Timofeeva M.
Minnen G.
37762
Timofeeva M.
66521

Greet Minnen defeated Maria Timofeeva 3-6 7-6 6-2 in the Beijing qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #95, but Greet Minnen had arrived on a 5-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Minnen G.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Minnen G.Timofeeva M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Minnen G.Timofeeva M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
54
Break points saved·Even
80
76
Break points won·Slight edge
90
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Minnen G.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Timofeeva M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+59 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1608
6.2Overall Elo 1723
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
6.3
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Minnen G.Timofeeva M.
Freshness·Dominant
62
93

Minnen G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Seidel E.
Arango E.
6-47-5
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Jacquemot E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Carle M.
7-56-4
Zakharova A.
Minnen G.
6-26-1
Volynets K.
Tararudee L.
3-67-646-3
Hon P.
Cocciaretto E.
6-26-4
Uchijima M.
Garland J.
6-22-66-1
Sasnovich A.
Lepchenko V.
6-46-1
Bondar A.
Parry D.
6-06-4
Tjen J.
Tomova V.
6-27-62
Galfi D.
Kawa K.
7-56-2
Inglis M.
Masarova R.
4-67-657-5
Q1
Uchijima M.
Jiang X.
6-46-3
Bondar A.
Zhu C.
7-686-2
Arango E.
Shao Y.
6-46-2
Seidel E.
Ponchet J.
6-46-3
Jacquemot E.
Aiava D.
7-56-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Li Z.
6-36-3
Bucsa C.
Ngounoue C.
6-26-3
Carle M.
Ren Y.
6-16-2
Zakharova A.
Rodionova A.
6-46-1
Minnen G.
Timofeeva M.
3-67-656-2
Tararudee L.
Gracheva V.
7-666-4
Volynets K.
Sharma A.
6-26-0
Cocciaretto E.
Paquet C.
6-46-1
Hon P.
Shibahara E.
3-67-56-1
Garland J.
Yao X.
6-24-66-3
Lepchenko V.
Jeanjean L.
6-34-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Prozorova T.
6-46-1
Parry D.
Astakhova D.
6-26-2
Tomova V.
Osuigwe W.
6-37-62
Tjen J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-3
Galfi D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-24-66-4
Kawa K.
Hunter S.
7-657-60
Inglis M.
Erjavec V.
6-36-3
Masarova R.
Diyas Z.
6-46-4