Holger Rune vs Hamad MedjedovicTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#69ATP
1841ELO
1744Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
Rune H.
7-6 6-1
Medjedovic H.
Rune H.
7962
Medjedovic H.
6710

Holger Rune defeated Hamad Medjedovic 7-6 6-1 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Hamad Medjedovic came in ranked #69, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Holger Rune claimed a first win over Hamad Medjedovic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-31Davis Cup QLS R1: SRB vs DENRRhardHamad Medjedovic2-6 6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Medjedovic H.

Medjedovic H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Medjedovic H.
47
Serve
37
58
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 67). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
74
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
84
39
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
4.8+20 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1841
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
6.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Medjedovic H.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%