Aleksandar Vukic vs Aleksandar KovacevicTokyo Qualifying Round 1

Tokyo · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Vukic A.
6-4 6-7 6-2
Kovacevic A.
Vukic A.
66462
Kovacevic A.
47721

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-7 6-2 in the Tokyo qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70. Aleksandar Vukic extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoQ1hardAleksandar Vukic6-4 6-7(4) 6-2
2023-03-20Miami MastersQ2hardAleksandar Vukic6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Kovacevic A.
21
Serve
52
7
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
33%
34%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
53
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Clear edge
16
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
93

Vukic A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast