Sebastian Korda vs Sho ShimabukuroTokyo Round of 16

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 16
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
Korda S.
6-1 6-4
Shimabukuro S.
Korda S.
662
Shimabukuro S.
140

Sebastian Korda defeated Sho Shimabukuro 6-1 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Shimabukuro S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Shimabukuro S.
61
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.1
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
88
Break points won·Dominant
73
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
8.8+159 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.2Hard Elo 1606
8.8Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1672
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Shimabukuro S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%