Sebastian Korda vs Marcos GironTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#92ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
Korda S.
4-6 6-3 7-6
Giron M.
Korda S.
46772
Giron M.
63641

Sebastian Korda defeated Marcos Giron 4-6 6-3 7-6 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sebastian Korda extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17AntwerpR32hardSebastian Korda6-3 6-7(0) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Giron M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Giron M.
61
Serve
29
58
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
62
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
73
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+61 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1704
6.8Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1718
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.1
Surface form
3.3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Giron M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%